With thirty years of experience in economic and industrial forecasting and analysis, Robert Lamy has produced numerous working papers and internal research reports, particularly with the Department of Finance Canada.

The following list of publications and conferences is representative of its experience in economic and industrial forecasting and analysis.

  1. Publications - Economic Forecasting
  2. Publications - Industrial Forecasting and Analysis
  3. Conferences

Publications - Economic Forecasting

  • Lamy, R, “Forecasting the Stock Market Cycle in the U.S.”, Research Report, The Forecasting Advisor, Ottawa, 2013.
  • Lamy, R, “Forecasting the Business Cycle in the U.S.”, Research Report, The Forecasting Advisor, Ottawa, 2013.
  • Lamy, R, “Forecasting the Business Cycle in Canada”, Research Report, The Forecasting Advisor, Ottawa, 2013.
  • Lamy, R., Gaudreault, C., and Liu, Y., “New Coincident, Leading, and Recession Indexes for the Canadian Economy: An Application of the Stock and Watson Methodology”, Working Paper 2003-12, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa, 2003.
  • Lamy, R., and Gaudreault, C., “Forecasting a One-Quarter Decline in Canadian Real GDP with Probit Models”, Working Paper 2002-06, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa, 2002.
  • Lamy, R., and Gaudreault, C., “Forecasting a One-Quarter Decline in U.S. Real GDP with Probit Models”, Working Paper 2002-05, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa, 2002.
  • Lamy, R., Gaudreault, C., and Cawthray, J., “Monitoring Future Economic Growth in Canadian Provinces with New Leading Indexes, Working Paper 2002-02, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa, 2002.
  • Lamy, R., and Sabourin, P., "Monitoring Regional Economies in Canada with High-Frequency Coincident Indexes», Working Paper 2001-05, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa, 2001.
  • Lamy, R., "Forecasting U.S. Recessions: Some Further Results from Probit Models", Research Paper, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa, 1998.
  • Lamy, R., "Forecasting Canadian Recessions with Macroeconomic Indicators", Working Paper 97-03, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa, 1997.
  • Lamy, R., and Rochon, P., "A Leading Indicator Model of Core Inflation for Canada," Working Paper 96-01, Department of Finance Canada, Canada, 1996.
  • Lamy, R., "Income Measurement, Term of the Interest Rates, Long-Term Canadian Consumption Function and an Error-Correction Model: An Application with the Engle-Granger Two-Steps Procedure," Research Paper, Department of Finance, Ottawa, 1995.
  • Lamy, R., "A New Composite Leading Indicator of the Canadian Economy," Working Paper 92-01, Department of Finance Canada, Ottawa. 1992.
  • Cholette, P. and Lamy, R., "Multivariate ARIMA Forecasting of Irregular Time Series," International Journal of Forecasting, 2, 201-216, 1985.

Publications - Industrial Forecasting and Analysis

  • Lamy, R, “Forecasting Canadian GDP by Industry”, Research Report, The Forecasting Advisor, Ottawa, 2013.
  • Lamy, R, “Forecasting Canadian Employment by Industry”, Research Report, The Forecasting Advisor, Ottawa, 2013.
  • Lamy, R, and Claveau, G., “Macroeconomic Scenario 2011-2020” Research Report for the Canadian Occupational Projection System, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2013.
  • Lamy, R, and Claveau, G., “Industrial Outlook 2011-2020” Research Report for the Canadian Occupational Projection System, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2013.
  • Lamy, R., and Lu, Yan, “Oil and Gas Extraction”, Research Report on Industry Trends and Outlook in Canada, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2012.
  • Lamy, R., and Charron, M., “Macro and National Industrial Forecasting and Internal Models”, Research Report, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2012.
  • Lamy, R., and Lu, Yan, “Oil and Gas Extraction”, Research Report on Industry Trends and Outlook in Canada, Research Report, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2012.
  • Lamy, R., and Lu, Yan, “Construction”, Research Report on Industry Trends and Outlook in Canada, Research Report, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2012.
  • Lamy, R., and Claveau, G. “Automotive Transportation Equipment”, Research Report on Industry Trends and Outlook in Canada, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2011.
  • Lamy, R., and Claveau, G. “Other Transportation Equipment”, Research Report on Industry Trends and Outlook in Canada, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2011.
  • Lamy, R., and Claveau, G., “The Canadian Manufacturing Sector: Long-term Trends, Recent Developments, Adjustment Underway and Employment Outlook”, Research Report, Human Resource and Skills Development Canada, Ottawa, 2008.
  • Coulombe, S., Lamy, R., and Rogers, S., “Adjustments in High Trade Exposed Manufacturing Employment in Canada”, Research Report, Industry Canada, Ottawa, 2007.
  • Lamy, R., “Economic Performance of the Canadian Tourism Industry in this Decade”, Research Report, Industry Canada, Ottawa, 2007.
  • Lamy, R., “State of the Wood Product Manufacturing Industry”, Research Report, Industry Canada, Ottawa, 2007.
  • Lamy, R., and Rogers, S., “Commodity Prices, the Exchange Rate and the Canadian Economy”, Research Report, Industry Canada, Ottawa, 2006.
  • Lamy, R., “Adjustment of the Canadian Economy to the Higher Dollar”, Research Report, Industry Canada, Ottawa, 2006.
  • Lamy, R., “Canada’s Manufacturing Sector”, Research Report, Presented to the Standing Committee on Industry, Science and Technology, Industry Canada, Ottawa, 2006.
  • Lamy, R., Bourque, J., Gaudreault, C., Jackson, H., “Impact of Exchange Rate Movements on Industrial and Regional Employment in Canada”, Research Report, Department of Finance, Ottawa, 2004.

Conferences

  • Halliwell, C., and Lamy. R., "The Manufacturing Sector in Canada: Developments, Prospects, and Issues” at Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) Occupational Workshop, June 12-13, 2008.
  • Lamy. R., and Claveau, G., "Canadian Industrial Outlook” at Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) Occupational Workshop, June 12-13, 2008.
  • Lamy. R., and Kim, J-Y., "National Sectoral Employment Model” at Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) Occupational Workshop, June 12-13, 2008.
  • Lamy. R., and Kim, J-Y., "Projecting Employment for Selected Industries” at Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) Occupational Workshop, June 12-13, 2008.
  • "Monitoring Future Economic Growth in Canada with New Leading Economic Indexes” at Société canadienne de science économique," Québec, mai 2001.
  • "Monitoring Regional Economies in Canada with High-Frequency Coincident Indexes” at the Annual Meetings of the Canadian Economics Association, University of British Columbia, British Columbia (Canada), June 2000.
  • "Monitoring Regional Economies in Canada with High-Frequency Coincident Indexes” at the Société canadienne de science économique," Montréal, mai 2000.
  • "Forecasting U.S. Recessions: Some Further Results from Probit Models”, at the 18th International Symposium on Forecasting, held in Edinburgh, Scotland, June 10-13, 1998.
  • "An Indicator Model of Core Inflation for Canada," at the Sixteen Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, held in Istanbul, Turkey, June 24-26, 1996.
  • "An Indicator Model of Core Inflation for Canada," at the Annual Meetings of the Canadian Economics Association, held at Brock University, St-Catherine, Ontario (Canada), May 31-June 2, 1996.